Sapienta Economics Ltd

Sapienta Economics Ltd

Category: Content
Type: Blog Article

Generated 3 weeks ago

New blog articles detected

  • 30 Nov 2016 Sapienta Country Analysis Executive Summary Nov 2016

    The following is a shortened version of the executive summary in the subscription product. Contacts us for a free trial Political analysis and outlook: We are holding the prospects of a solution of the Cyprus problem within the next 12 months at 45% as efforts to keep the talks going continue, but are putting them […]

  • 27 Nov 2016 The lost opportunities of a Cyprus velvet divorce

    Even before the collapse of the Cyprus negotiations in Mont Pelerin on Monday, the words ‘velvet divorce’ had been creeping up in conversations. The gist of the argument is that Cypriots are incapable of living together, so let’s end the Cyprus problem with a deal to live apart. If this is the game-plan of some […]

  • 20 Nov 2016 How far have Cyprus property prices fallen?

    This week, the Central Bank of Cyprus published its residential property price index for the second quarter of 2016. Prices dropped by a comparatively mild 0.5% over the previous period and by 1.7% compared with the second quarter of 2015. If you own an apartment in Paphos, the news was even better, as it was […]

  • 12 Nov 2016 Clouds over next year’s Cyprus tourism season

    In 2016 Cyprus enjoyed a bumper tourism season, with arrivals rising by 18.8% in January-September and reaching a record 2.6 million. This week, the Minister of Commerce, Energy, Industry and Tourism, Yiorgos Lakkotrypis tweeted: “Cautiously optimistic for another strong year of #UK visitation to #BeautifulCyprus”. I hope he is right. But there are a few […]

  • 06 Nov 2016 Banks should step up on Cyprus problem

    Next week, Nicos Anastasiades and Mustafa Akinci will spend five days at Mont Pèlerin hashing out some of the most politically thorny aspects of the Cyprus problem. If things go well, then we shall be well on our way to the final phase: the multi-party conference in which the security aspects of the Cyprus problem […]

  • 22 Oct 2016 Northern Cyprus demographics: an update

    This week the topic of the demographics of a united Cyprus has been back in the news again. President Nicos Anastasiades said that 40,000 people of Turkish origin could stay in Cyprus after a settlement (he quickly corrected a slip of the tongue where he mentioned 90,000). It is therefore an appropriate moment to pick […]

  • 16 Oct 2016 Why the pound is sliding

    If you are earning an income or a pension in sterling, you are already feeling the pinch of a weaker British pound. At the time of writing, sterling was 18.3% weaker against the euro than on January 1 and 17.6% weaker than exactly a year ago. The key vulnerability for the pound is the large […]

  • 09 Oct 2016 Enigmas in Cyprus’ global rankings

    In 2015, the Cyprus economy clambered out of recession, the long-awaited foreclosure law was finally passed and the government submitted its proposals for public-sector reform to the Attorney-General. The start-up scene has also been busy, with initiative such as the IDEA programme sponsored by Bank of Cyprus and Chrysalis Leap. Yet somehow this was not […]

  • 25 Sep 2016 What gas price earns Cyprus €600 million a year?

    This week the finance minister, Harris Georgiades, told parliament that government income from natural gas could reach €500-€600 million per year in around 12 years’ time. As part of the Aphrodite contract, government revenue will start to flow after the energy companies have recouped their costs. This is one reason why Georgiades mentioned 12 years […]

Sapienta Economics Ltd

Category: Content
Type: Blog Article

Generated 5 months ago

New blog articles detected

  • 14 Sep 2016 Country Analysis update: solution prospects held at 40%

    Sapienta Economics is holding the prospects of a solution of the Cyprus problem at 40%, following a somewhat cautious statement on Wednesday at the end of the intensive phase of meetings between the president of the Republic of Cyprus and leader of the Greek Cypriot community, Nicos Anastasiades, and the president of the unrecognized Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) and leader of the Tur...

  • 06 Sep 2016 How do you solve a problem like Morphou?

    More than 12 years since the last big effort to solve the Cyprus problem, the negotiations have finally entered the “make or “break” phase. There is a general acceptance that this is the last best window for what could end up being a very long time

  • 28 Aug 2016 Cyprus refugees, property and homes

    I have long argued that the property aspect of the Cyprus problem cannot be solved until the number-crunchers sit side by side with the political negotiators. This is because one can argue for years over an issue that seems enormous in theory but once you do the numbers, it becomes smaller in practice. For example, a small proportion of Greek Cypriot dispossessed owners owns a very large amount of...

  • 21 Aug 2016 Are Cyprus SMEs being ripped off by banks?

    Lending rates in Cyprus have been tumbling in recent years. In December 2007, a month before Cyprus adopted the euro, a small business would pay an average interest rate of 6.51% on loans of up to €1 million. Today, the same business would pay just 4.23% for a new loan.

  • 14 Aug 2016 Russia-Turkey warm up is an opportunity for Cyprus

    The visit to Moscow by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin this week consolidated the rapprochement that had already begun shortly before the attempted coup in mid-July

  • 07 Aug 2015 Debt and deflation

    Cyprus is now well into its third year of deflation. According to the EU-harmonised consumer price index, prices fell by 0.4% in 2014, 1.5% in 2015 and by 1.9% in the first half of 2016

  • 31 Jul 2016 Aphrodite’s Cyprus problem

    While everyone is getting excited about the big-name bidders in the third Cyprus offshore gas licensing round, it is worth remembering the excitement that first greeted the discovery by Noble Energy in late 2011 of the Aphrodite field in offshore Block 12.

  • 24 Jul 2016 A Turkish Cypriot EEA?

    I have spent the best part of the last 13 years trying to do my bit for a federal solution of the Cyprus problem, so writing this article feels like committing a cardinal sin. But for the many and multiplying reasons I have written about elsewhere, time has almost run out for solving the Cyprus problem any time this decade.

  • 10 Jul 2016 No gain without wage reform

    Back in 2013, the Cyprus economy was staring over the abyss. Two of the largest banks were about to fold, the government was unable to borrow money to recapitalise them and it was not at all certain that there was political will among eurozone leaders to help

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